6
Country Embrace
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 68
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
| 2026-01-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
| 2025-11-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-10-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 18/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 15/10/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 07/01/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |