3
I Forgot It
3yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 75
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
81%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength99%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 26/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/06/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 29/07/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |