7

Jolly Justice
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 69
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2024 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/07/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 12/08/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 10/09/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 04/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/07/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |