8
Koger Lane
3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 82
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 2.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 86% | -0.10 |