2
Tiz Wine Time
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 67
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -30.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 13/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 21/05/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |