1
Bits Of Candy
5yo Mare · 8-12
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Handicap · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 91% | +0.01 |
| 26/06/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 16/08/2025 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 25/10/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |