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5

City Prayers

4yo Filly · 8-12

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Handicap · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 78 · 5f110y 119 · beat its mark28/10/2025 · OR 78 par28/10C6OR 78C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 80 · 6f 119 · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 80 parC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y 1247/04C?C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 119 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 74 · 5f110y 121 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 74 par28/05C5OR 74C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 79 · 6f 121 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 79 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 84 · 6f 121 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 84 par10/07C6OR 84C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 86 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 86 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 86 · 5f110y 119 · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 86 par1/09C6OR 86projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-08-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-07-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-06-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-05-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-05-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/102/0510/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength57%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/10/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
13/11/20259th25/10%0%0.00
07/04/20268th50/10%36%+0.36
02/05/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
28/05/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
22/06/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
10/07/20263rd12/137%60%+0.23
06/08/20264th12/137%63%+0.26
01/09/20267th16/116%0%-0.16