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2

Flowered

5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 64

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 51 · 1m110y Fm 122 · beat its mark04/06/2025 · OR 51 par4/06C5OR 51C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 57 · 1m110y 119 · beat its mark16/06/2025 · OR 57 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 41 · 1m110y Yie 122 · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 41 par21/08C5OR 41C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 54 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 54 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 54 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 54 par14/10C5OR 54C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 56 · 1m110y Fm 122 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 56 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 62 · 1m Gd 122 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 62 par6/07C5OR 62C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 65 · 1m110y Fm 122 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 65 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 63 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 63 par2/09C5OR 63projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-07-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-07-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-06-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2025-10-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2025-09-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0630/096/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength70%

Delivery trend +4.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/06/20257th33/10%0%0.00
16/06/20257th33/10%0%0.00
21/08/202512th40/10%0%0.00
30/09/20255th50/10%60%+0.60
14/10/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
03/06/20264th25/10%50%+0.50
06/07/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
30/07/20266th25/10%29%+0.29
02/09/20267th25/10%33%+0.33