5
Goody Two Socks
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 67
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 13th | −3 |
| 2026-01-03 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-11-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -9.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 01/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 06/11/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 44% | -0.41 |
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 14/02/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 02/09/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 11% | -0.68 |