1

Inclusive Justice

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 64

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

55%

Place Prob

39%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 05/01/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 53 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark05/01/2025 · OR 53 par5/01C9OR 53C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 21/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 43 · 1m Gd 119 · beat its mark21/02/2025 · OR 43 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 56 · 1m Gd 120 · beat its mark03/05/2025 · OR 56 par3/05C6OR 56C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 65 · 1m Slo 120 · beat its mark15/05/2025 · OR 65 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 68 · 1m110y Fas 118 · beat its mark07/06/2025 · OR 68 par7/06C5OR 68C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 67 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark24/06/2025 · OR 67 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 70 · 1m Fas 118 · beat its mark13/07/2025 · OR 70 par13/07C5OR 70C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m 122 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 64 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 61 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 61 par2/09C5OR 61projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-08-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2025-07-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2025-06-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2025-06-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2025-05-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0115/0513/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength94%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/01/20253rd5/174%78%+0.04
21/02/20253rd14/126%78%+0.51
03/05/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
15/05/20252nd5/493%80%-0.13
07/06/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
24/06/20258th8/158%13%-0.45
13/07/20255th12/137%33%-0.04
20/08/20268th20/10%0%0.00
02/09/20263rd25/10%78%+0.78