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7

Midnight Caper

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 70

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 65 · 1m110y 118 · beat its mark15/09/2025 · OR 65 par15/09C5OR 65C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m70y 118C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 67 · 1m110y 116 · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 67 par13/11C8OR 67C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 64 · 1m 122 · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 64 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 68 · 1m110y Fm 122 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 68 par3/06C5OR 68C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 75 · 1m70y Fas 122 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 74 · 1m110y Fm 122 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 74 par30/07C5OR 74C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 70 · 1m 122 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 70 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 69 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 69 par2/09C5OR 69projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-08-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-07-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-06-23Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-06-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-05-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/091/0530/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength77%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/09/20252nd5/287%80%-0.07
01/10/20259th14/126%0%-0.26
13/11/20253rd7/282%75%-0.07
01/05/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
03/06/20262nd10/147%83%+0.36
23/06/20265th8/158%33%-0.25
30/07/20265th8/158%43%-0.15
20/08/20262nd5/174%86%+0.12
02/09/20266th12/137%44%+0.08