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8

Si O Si

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 59

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

37%

Place Prob

32%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 1204/06C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 44 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark02/07/2025 · OR 44 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 51 · 1m Gd 120 · beat its mark29/07/2025 · OR 51 par29/07C6OR 51C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 53 · 1m110y Gd 120 · beat its mark18/08/2025 · OR 53 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 54 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark08/09/2025 · OR 54 par8/09C6OR 54C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 55 · 1m110y Gd 122 · beat its mark29/09/2025 · OR 55 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 54 · 1m70y Fas 122 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 54 par22/10C6OR 54C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 52 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 52 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 27/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 54 · 1m Gd 122 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 54 par27/08C5OR 54projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-07-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2025-10-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th6th−1
2025-09-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th6th−1
2025-09-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd3rd−1
2025-08-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0618/0822/1027/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength78%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/06/20259th9/153%27%-0.25
02/07/20253rd5/174%78%+0.04
29/07/20255th7/491%60%-0.31
18/08/20255th3/184%50%-0.34
08/09/20252nd9/488%89%+0.01
29/09/20255th6/492%56%-0.37
22/10/20255th5/287%20%-0.67
06/07/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
27/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24