9
Skippinjustice
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 73
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 14th | −3 |
| 2025-09-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 15/07/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 02/09/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 30/09/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/10/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 14/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |