4
Sweet Jannaelise
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 77
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 03/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 89% | -0.06 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |