10
Tamarac Square
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 61
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength22%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 07/10/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/10/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 16/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 30/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |