1
Kodiac City
2yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 92
Kempton · Unibet/EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 1) · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength30%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Sandown | 1 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-08-06 | Southwell | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
Delivery trend -10.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |