7

Tarn Hows

2yo Gelding · 9-1

Kempton · Unibet/EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 1) · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Foaled March 30. Stradivarius gelding. Half-brother to several winners, including 5f-6f winner Accrual and 5f winner Seneca Chief. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner. Too green to show anything on C&D debut 19 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 04/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m Sta 1304/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Kempton411th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 9-14 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength5%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/202611th50/10%9%+0.09