5

There Goes My Hero

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Kempton · Unibet/EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 2) · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Timeform

Commentary

Failed to beat a rival either start in all-weather/turf novice events in recent months and he's a likely type for low-grade handicaps moving forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Lingfield 06/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f1y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS6/0733 @ Salisbury 03/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/093projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Salisbury37th6th+1
2026-07-06Lingfield310th9th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/202610th100/10%0%0.00
03/09/20267th300/10%0%0.00