7
Bofa Beach
3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 68
Kempton · Racing TV Fillies' Handicap · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 12.2 /10 (raw 9.3)
Highest class: BHA73
Recent avg: C7.9
Today: 5
Class gap: -2.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Gowran Park | BHA73 | 10th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-07-04 | Naas | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gowran Park | ? | 9th | 13th | −3 |
| 2026-05-20 | Gowran Park | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-09-27 | Curragh | ? | 27th | 27th | 0 |
| 2025-06-27 | Curragh | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 27/09/2025 | 27th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 12/06/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.19 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 07/08/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |