8
Goomah
3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 68
Kempton · Racing TV Fillies' Handicap · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: BHA77
Recent avg: C7.9
Today: 5
Class gap: -2.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | ? | 8th | 12th | −3 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | BHA77 | 12th | 15th | −3 |
| 2026-05-10 | Leopardstown | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-09-26 | Dundalk | ? | 6th | 10th | −3 |
| 2025-08-24 | Naas | ? | 7th | 11th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 26/09/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 58% | +0.43 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 24/05/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |