Mollie Foster
4yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 68
Kempton · Racing TV Fillies' Handicap · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chester | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Windsor | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-24 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-02-11 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Newcastle | 2 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 21/08/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 16/10/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 16/01/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 11/02/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/03/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/07/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |