Nothing But Love

4yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 68

Kempton · Racing TV Fillies' Handicap · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼1

Strength59%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.3

Today: 5

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-01	Lingfield	4	1st	0th	+1	5.0
2026-08-06	Newmarket	4	2nd	1st	+1	9.2
2026-07-06	Lingfield	5	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-06-06	Lingfield	4	5th	4th	+1	6.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▼

Strength98%

Delivery trend -17.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
06/06/2026	5th	33/1	0%	64%	+0.64
06/07/2026	4th	66/1	0%	73%	+0.73
06/08/2026	2nd	18/1	5%	67%	+0.61
01/09/2026	1st	13/8	91%	100%	+0.09