6

Protectrix

3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 68

Kempton · Racing TV Fillies' Handicap · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Big prices all starts but showed a lot more than previously on her final qualifying run when third over C&D 2 weeks ago. Bred to be better than this grade and there should be plenty more to come.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength71%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 7f14y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS23/0743 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS13/0834 @ Kempton 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS9/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kempton43rd2nd+1
2026-08-13Lingfield36th4th+2
2026-07-23Southwell47th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0713/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +15.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20267th50/10%50%+0.50
13/08/20266th100/10%38%+0.38
09/09/20263rd400/10%80%+0.80