9
Sunshine And Roses
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 62
Kempton · Racing TV Fillies' Handicap · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Ffos Las | 6 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-08-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Haydock | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 22/12/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 25/05/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 15% | -0.21 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 28/08/2026 | 11th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |