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5

Too Too Divine

3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 70

Kempton · Racing TV Fillies' Handicap · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressive Starman filly who gained a first success in 6f maiden (just failed but promoted after being carried left) at Nottingham in July. Unable to find requisite improvement needed to defy opening mark at Newmarket and now goes up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 04/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 7f36y Std 1284/1154 @ Yarmouth 30/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f3y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/0444 @ Yarmouth 10/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 7f3y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS10/0644 @ Nottingham 21/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 71 · 6f18y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 71 par21/074OR 715 @ Newmarket 21/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 71 · 7f Goo 131 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 71 par21/085OR 71projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Newmarket55th5th0
2026-07-21Nottingham42nd1st+1
2026-06-10Yarmouth43rd2nd+1
2026-04-30Yarmouth45th4th+1
2025-11-04Wolverhampton54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1130/0410/0621/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength50%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/11/20254th12/137%0%-0.37
30/04/20265th25/10%20%+0.20
10/06/20263rd16/116%80%+0.64
21/07/20262nd11/893%86%-0.07
21/08/20265th8/158%33%-0.25