2

Cubbie's Dream

2yo Filly · 9-2

Kempton · Unibet/EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Offered little on debut when ninth of 10 in novice at Newbury in July but did at least show more when fourth of 5 in a Goodwood maiden (6f) 4 weeks ago. Still, she looks the type to do better in handicaps after this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 09/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f GF 1289/0743 @ Goodwood 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS28/083projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Goodwood34th3rd+1
2026-07-09Newbury49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength65%

Delivery trend +13.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/07/20269th25/10%11%+0.11
28/08/20264th66/10%25%+0.25