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Duchess Of Immatin

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 64

Kempton · Unibet/EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

40%

Place Prob

41%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Blue Point filly out of an unraced half-sister to high-class 1m-1¼m winner Arod. Promise both starts to date, not convincing that the shorter trip was in her favour when a staying-on fourth of 10 in a Windsor maiden (5f) 9 days ago. Return to 6f in her favour and respected under Billy Loughnane.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ffos Las 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f Gd 12827/0844 @ Windsor 14/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f21y Goo 12814/094projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Windsor44th4th0
2026-08-27Ffos Las44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +34.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/08/20264th11/271%40%-0.31
14/09/20264th7/163%67%+0.04