4

Forever Faithfull

2yo Filly · 9-2

Kempton · Unibet/EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Caturra filly. Dam 7f winner (including at 2 yrs). 28/1, proved too green to do herself justice when seventh of 9 in a Goodwood maiden (6f) on debut back in May. This can reveal more on return from 132 days off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Goodwood 23/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS23/053
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-23Goodwood37th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength13%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20267th28/10%25%+0.25