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12

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2yo Filly · 9-2

Kempton · Unibet/EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

100,000 gns yearling who has hinted at ability in 2 starts to date, keeping on for third in a Goodwood maiden (6f) 4 weeks ago. However, it could be longer trips/handicaps that see her to better effect moving forward, including as a 3-y-o.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 17/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f GF 12817/0743 @ Goodwood 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS28/083projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Goodwood33rd2nd+1
2026-07-17Newbury48th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -51.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20268th18/15%30%+0.25
28/08/20263rd9/276%50%-0.26