Dontspoilasale
6yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 65
Kempton · Industry Leading In-Play Markets At Unibet Handicap · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Lingfield | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Brighton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-06 | Lingfield | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-01 | Dundalk | BHA74 | 6th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Dundalk | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 20/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 01/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |