5

Generous Rascal

3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 65

Kempton · Industry Leading In-Play Markets At Unibet Handicap · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

19%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner of a C&D novice last autumn for Oliver Cole. Largely in good form for current yard in 2026, not seen to best effect when fifth of 10 (in first-time blinkers) at Wolverhampton (7f) though effort over 7f back here a month ago harder to excuse.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 01/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 6f Sta 137 · HIGHER CLASS1/1254 @ Southwell 01/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 78 · 7f14y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/01/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Ripon 16/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 77 · 6f GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 77 par16/044OR 774 @ Windsor 23/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 76 · 6f12y GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 76 par4 @ Kempton 10/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 75 · 6f Sta 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 75 par10/064OR 755 @ Yarmouth 26/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 73 · 7f3y GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 73 par4 @ Newmarket 18/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 71 · 6f GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 71 par18/074OR 715 @ Wolverhampton 31/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 68 · 7f36y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Kempton 19/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 67 · 7f Sta 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 67 par19/085OR 67projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Kempton510th9th+1
2026-07-31Wolverhampton55th4th+1
2026-07-18Newmarket47th5th+2
2026-06-26Yarmouth55th4th+1
2026-06-10Kempton43rd1st+2
2026-05-23Windsor48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1223/0518/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength26%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/12/20252nd3/184%75%-0.09
01/01/20263rd11/271%71%+0.00
16/04/20263rd13/266%83%+0.18
23/05/20268th11/271%46%-0.25
10/06/20263rd18/15%71%+0.66
26/06/20265th11/142%43%+0.01
18/07/20267th28/10%14%+0.14
31/07/20265th10/147%56%+0.08
19/08/202610th8/158%0%-0.58