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3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 48

Kempton · Industry Leading In-Play Markets At Unibet Handicap · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Failed to meet market expectations in a pair of nurseries last term but has shaped better than the bare result first 3 starts this season before finding only one too good at Brighton in June. Off since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Goodwood 02/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 5f Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS2/0525 @ Catterick 30/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Brighton 31/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f60y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS31/0856 @ Wolverhampton 20/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 53 · 5f21y Std 128 · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 53 par6 @ Wolverhampton 04/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 53 · 5f21y Std 128 · beat its mark04/11/2025 · OR 53 par4/116OR 536 @ Nottingham 18/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR 51 · 5f8y Goo 126 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Lingfield 28/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 50 · 6f1y Std 125 · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 50 par28/046OR 506 @ Lingfield 26/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 49 · 6f Goo 129 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 48 · 5f215y Gd 128 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 48 par9/066OR 48projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-09Brighton62nd2nd0
2026-05-26Lingfield65th5th0
2026-04-28Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-04-18Nottingham68th8th0
2025-11-04Wolverhampton65th5th0
2025-09-20Wolverhampton63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0520/0928/049/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/05/202511th40/10%0%0.00
30/05/20257th16/116%0%-0.16
31/08/20255th15/261%33%-0.27
20/09/20253rd9/488%71%-0.17
04/11/20255th11/486%20%-0.66
18/04/20268th10/147%56%+0.09
28/04/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01
26/05/20265th15/261%67%+0.06
09/06/20262nd13/266%83%+0.18