13
Bessie Wallis
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 58
Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f
#14
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength66%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Lingfield | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Lingfield | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Kempton | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-01 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 18/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 27/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 01/12/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/09/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |