Chapman's Peak
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 63
Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
94%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Kempton | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Yarmouth | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Kempton | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Bath | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 13/10/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 29/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 17/04/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 06/05/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |
| 29/05/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 30% | -0.12 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 02/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |