11

Forever My Prince

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 57

Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f

#11

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won a claimer at Leicester on final start for Eve Johnson Houghton last October. Yet to fire for present stable, though, and needs to show more spark before becoming of interest. Visor on first time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Goodwood 24/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 71 · 6f GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/09/2025 · OR 71 par24/094OR 715 @ Lingfield 14/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 71 · 6f1y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/10/2025 · OR 71 par5 @ Leicester 28/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 70 · 7f Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/10/2025 · OR 70 par28/105OR 704 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 70 · 7f6y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Leicester 13/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 69 · 7f Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 69 par13/045OR 695 @ Salisbury 14/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 67 · 6f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 67 par6 @ Chepstow 29/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 64 · 7f16y Goo 134 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 64 par29/056OR 645 @ Newbury 23/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 62 · 6f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Wolverhampton 01/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 59 · 6f21y Std 134 · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 59 par1/096OR 59projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Wolverhampton69th9th0
2026-06-23Newbury56th5th+1
2026-05-29Chepstow65th5th0
2026-05-14Salisbury56th5th+1
2026-04-13Leicester55th4th+1
2026-03-29Doncaster45th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0929/0329/051/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/09/20253rd10/147%80%+0.33
14/10/20258th7/282%13%-0.69
28/10/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
29/03/20265th25/10%71%+0.71
13/04/20265th9/153%33%-0.19
14/05/20266th13/266%38%-0.28
29/05/20265th12/137%56%+0.19
23/06/20266th11/142%55%+0.12
01/09/20269th4/179%20%-0.59