12
Midnight's Dream
5yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 56
Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Leicester | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Yarmouth | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 31/03/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.02 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 13/08/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.08 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 21/09/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 69% | +0.03 |