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Searchingtheblues

4yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 61

Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who responded well to headgear when second at Ffos Las 2 starts ago. Not far off that level when staying on for fourth at Lingfield (7f) but losing run now stretches back over 2 years.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength64%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 19/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 70 · 6f Sta 127 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/01/2026 · OR 70 par19/014OR 704 @ Lingfield 03/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 68 · 7f1y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 68 par6 @ Southwell 23/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 65 · 7f14y Std 135 · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 65 par23/046OR 655 @ Wolverhampton 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 65 · 1m142y Std 139 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Lingfield 01/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 64 · 1m1y Std 134 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 64 par1/066OR 645 @ Kempton 29/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 62 · 7f Sta 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Wolverhampton 17/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 61 · 7f36y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 61 par17/075OR 616 @ Ffos Las 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 60 · 7f80y Gd 135 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 60 par5 @ Lingfield 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 62 · 7f1y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 62 par3/095OR 62projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Lingfield54th3rd+1
2026-08-21Ffos Las62nd2nd0
2026-07-17Wolverhampton511th10th+1
2026-06-29Kempton53rd2nd+1
2026-06-01Lingfield68th8th0
2026-05-11Wolverhampton57th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0111/0517/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength58%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/01/20265th20/10%0%0.00
03/04/202611th40/10%9%+0.09
23/04/20263rd18/15%75%+0.70
11/05/20267th15/261%0%-0.61
01/06/20268th8/158%30%-0.28
29/06/20263rd17/255%82%+0.27
17/07/202611th17/255%0%-0.55
21/08/20262nd16/116%83%+0.68
03/09/20264th9/276%67%-0.10