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Spirit Of Breeze

6yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 65

Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual 7f winner in 2025 who has stepped forward with each start this campaign, highlighting his turn isn't far away when posting a good second on all-weather at Lingfield (7f) 6 weeks ago. Likely player on the back of a 1 lb rise reunited with David Egan.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength64%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chepstow 11/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 55 · 7f16y GF 132 · beat its mark11/07/2025 · OR 55 par11/076OR 556 @ Yarmouth 28/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 57 · 7f3y GS 134 · beat its mark28/07/2025 · OR 57 par6 @ Salisbury 14/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 55 · 6f213y Goo 137 · beat its mark14/08/2025 · OR 55 par14/086OR 556 @ Bath 30/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 62 · 1m Goo 137 · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 62 par5 @ Lingfield 27/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 62 · 7f1y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/10/2025 · OR 62 par27/105OR 626 @ Lingfield 04/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 62 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark04/11/2025 · OR 62 par4 @ Salisbury 14/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 65 · 6f213y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 65 par14/064OR 656 @ Windsor 20/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 64 · 1m31y GF 142 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 64 par6 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 64 · 7f1y Std 141 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 64 par13/086OR 64projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-07-20Windsor63rd3rd0
2026-06-14Salisbury43rd1st+2
2025-11-04Lingfield69th9th0
2025-10-27Lingfield51st0th+1
2025-09-30Bath66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0730/0914/0613/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength81%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/20252nd15/261%83%+0.23
28/07/20255th9/153%50%-0.03
14/08/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
30/09/20256th5/174%50%-0.24
27/10/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
04/11/20259th9/488%33%-0.55
14/06/20263rd20/10%67%+0.67
20/07/20263rd5/287%67%-0.20
13/08/20262nd6/168%91%+0.22