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14

Victory Sound

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 51

Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed 3 times this summer, before taking advantage of his much-reduced mark when winning 13-runner handicap at Newcastle (7f) 3 weeks ago. Scored with a bit in hand then and looks to hold claims in what is a stronger race now that he's got his head back in front.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength62%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Nottingham 29/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 70 · 5f8y Sft 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/10/2025 · OR 70 par29/105OR 704 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 65 · 7f6y GS 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Lingfield 14/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 60 · 7f1y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 60 par14/045OR 606 @ Lingfield 27/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 55 · 7f1y Std 125 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Lingfield 01/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 52 · 1m1y Std 122 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 52 par1/066OR 525 @ Ffos Las 29/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 51 · 7f80y Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Wolverhampton 14/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 51 · 7f36y Std 127 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 51 par14/076OR 516 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 50 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Newcastle 03/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 49 · 7f14y Std 132 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 49 par3/096OR 49projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Newcastle61st1st0
2026-08-18Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-07-14Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-06-29Ffos Las53rd2nd+1
2026-06-01Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-04-27Lingfield67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1027/0414/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength91%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/10/20259th150/10%0%0.00
29/03/202615th80/10%7%+0.07
14/04/202610th40/10%10%+0.10
27/04/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
01/06/20263rd22/10%80%+0.80
29/06/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
14/07/20266th8/158%38%-0.20
18/08/20262nd4/179%91%+0.12
03/09/20261st2/189%100%+0.11