
Whitesnake
4yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 62
Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Chepstow | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Salisbury | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-04 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-09-01 | Windsor | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/05/2026 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |