10

Zoulu Warrior

4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 59

Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f

#10

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back-to-back 6f winner on the all weather last December but has struggled on turf in recent months despite a sliding mark, minus headgear when tenth of 13 in handicap at Windsor (6f) 16 days ago. Visor now the headgear of choice.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 08/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 63 · 6f20y Std 134 · beat its mark08/12/2025 · OR 63 par8/126OR 636 @ Southwell 18/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 63 · 6f16y Std 133 · beat its mark18/12/2025 · OR 63 par6 @ Wolverhampton 27/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 65 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark27/12/2025 · OR 65 par27/126OR 655 @ Wolverhampton 19/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 69 · 6f20y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/01/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Southwell 20/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 69 · 6f16y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/02/2026 · OR 69 par20/025OR 695 @ Newmarket 19/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR 68 · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Chepstow 16/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 66 · 6f16y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 66 par16/075OR 666 @ Chepstow 18/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 63 · 6f16y GF 134 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Windsor 07/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 61 · 6f12y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 61 par7/095OR 61projClass-projected finish: 12th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Windsor510th9th+1
2026-08-18Chepstow65th5th0
2026-07-16Chepstow57th6th+1
2026-06-19Newmarket514th13th+1
2026-02-20Southwell57th6th+1
2026-01-19Wolverhampton54th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1219/0116/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength11%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/12/20252nd5/493%88%-0.06
18/12/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
27/12/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
19/01/20264th9/488%67%-0.21
20/02/20267th10/147%45%-0.02
19/06/202614th28/10%13%+0.13
16/07/20267th9/153%0%-0.53
18/08/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
07/09/202610th20/10%25%+0.25