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8

Chalk Mountain

6yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 80

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A 3-time C&D winner, including in this event 12 months ago. In better form than recent form figures suggests, seeming stretched by longer trip when a fading sixth of 12 at Wolverhampton (8.5f) 16 days ago. Interesting now back at optimum distance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 24/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 78 · 7f Sta 133 · beat its mark24/09/2025 · OR 78 par24/094OR 784 @ Kempton 20/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 81 · 7f Sta 131 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 81 par3 @ Newbury 11/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 83 · 7f GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 83 par11/063OR 834 @ Kempton 29/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 83 · 1m Sta 140 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 83 par4 @ Ascot 10/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 83 · 1m GF 139 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 83 par10/074OR 834 @ Southwell 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 81 · 7f14y Std 138 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 81 par4 @ Kempton 12/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 82 · 7f Sta 132 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 82 par12/084OR 824 @ Southwell 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 82 · 7f14y Std 135 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Wolverhampton 07/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 81 · 1m142y Std 131 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 81 par7/094OR 81projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Wolverhampton46th6th0
2026-08-27Southwell44th4th0
2026-08-12Kempton47th7th0
2026-07-27Southwell42nd2nd0
2026-07-10Ascot47th7th0
2026-06-29Kempton46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0929/0612/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
20/05/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
11/06/20268th20/10%50%+0.50
29/06/20266th6/168%62%-0.07
10/07/20267th10/147%14%-0.33
27/07/20262nd4/179%91%+0.12
12/08/20267th4/179%40%-0.39
27/08/20264th9/276%70%-0.06
07/09/20266th14/126%55%+0.28