11

Luansobe

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 81

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sprung a 40/1 surprise in 7f Wolverhampton novice in April. Gelded and back in good form of late, aggressively ridden when fifth of 8 in handicap at Ascot (7f, good) 19 days ago. One to consider.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 08/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f Sta 1338/1054 @ Newmarket 31/10/2025 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 7f Gd 12831/1044 @ Wolverhampton 17/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f36y Std 12917/0443 @ York 13/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 80 · 7f Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 80 par13/053OR 804 @ Ascot 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR 79 · 7f GF 133 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 79 par11/074OR 794 @ Ascot 04/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 82 · 7f Goo 132 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 82 par4/094OR 82projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Ascot45th5th0
2026-07-11Ascot43rd3rd0
2026-05-13York310th9th+1
2026-04-17Wolverhampton41st1st0
2025-10-31Newmarket414th14th0
2025-10-08Kempton52nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1031/1017/0413/0511/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength57%

Delivery trend -8.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/10/20252nd7/163%88%+0.24
31/10/202514th50/10%7%+0.07
17/04/20261st40/10%100%+1.00
13/05/202610th14/126%31%+0.04
11/07/20263rd11/142%88%+0.45
04/09/20265th7/282%43%-0.39