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6

Prosperitas

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 81

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved in first-time cheekpieces when bagging 7f Doncaster handicap last October. Only twice-raced since but not disgraced with fourth of 14 in handicap over C&D in May. Needs to hit the ground running following an absence.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Thirsk 07/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR - · 6f Goo 1287/0942 @ York 11/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 74 · 7f Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/10/2024 · OR 74 par4 @ Newbury 26/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 75 · 6f Hvy 129 · beat its mark26/10/2024 · OR 75 par26/104OR 754 @ Newmarket 17/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 79 · 7f Gd 134 · beat its mark17/04/2025 · OR 79 par4 @ York 31/05/2025 · Pos 12th of 22 · OR 79 · 7f Goo 134 · beat its mark31/05/2025 · OR 79 par31/054OR 794 @ Ascot 03/10/2025 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR 78 · 7f GS 157 · beat its mark03/10/2025 · OR 78 par4 @ Doncaster 25/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 76 · 7f6y Hvy 134 · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 76 par25/104OR 762 @ Doncaster 28/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 22 · OR 82 · 1m Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Kempton 06/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 82 · 7f Sta 137 · beat its mark06/05/2026 · OR 82 par6/054OR 82projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-06Kempton44th4th0
2026-03-28Doncaster212th10th+2
2025-10-25Doncaster41st1st0
2025-10-03Ascot413th13th0
2025-05-31York412th12th0
2025-04-17Newmarket45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0917/0425/106/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength94%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/09/20243rd20/10%88%+0.88
11/10/20245th40/10%69%+0.69
26/10/20241st3/184%100%+0.16
17/04/20255th17/255%50%-0.05
31/05/202512th12/137%48%+0.11
03/10/202513th18/15%25%+0.20
25/10/20251st33/10%100%+1.00
28/03/202612th33/10%48%+0.48
06/05/20264th11/271%77%+0.06