9
Rock Iguana
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 80
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | BHA79 | 8th | 13th | −4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Gowran Park | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Southwell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Salisbury | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength26%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 17/08/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 15/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 02/10/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |
| 24/11/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |