4
Starfinch
3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 85
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength46%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Yarmouth | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Goodwood | 1 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-02-28 | Lingfield | 1 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-01-13 | Southwell | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Curragh | ? | 14th | 19th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/01/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 02/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |