14
Suggy
3yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 79
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength21%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kempton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Haydock | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Newbury | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kempton | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 19/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.18 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 22% | -0.62 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |