2

Classical Allusion

4yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 79

Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 219y

#3

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Scored on his debut at Southwell and back to that sort of form when sixth in handicap here (1½m) in August. A below-par sixth on turf at Goodwood (1½m, soft) last time but not dismissed back at this venue.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength59%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 27/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m4f14y Std 13327/0953 @ Kempton 25/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f219y Sta 137 · HIGHER CLASS25/0333 @ Newbury 17/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 85 · 2m110y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 85 par17/043OR 853 @ Ascot 09/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 85 · 1m3f211y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 85 par9/053OR 853 @ Kempton 12/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 83 · 1m3f219y Sta 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 83 par12/083OR 832 @ Goodwood 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 82 · 1m3f218y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 82 par29/082OR 82projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Goodwood26th4th+2
2026-08-12Kempton36th5th+1
2026-05-09Ascot314th13th+1
2026-04-17Newbury35th4th+1
2026-03-25Kempton32nd1st+1
2025-09-27Southwell51st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0925/0317/049/0512/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength52%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
25/03/20262nd5/174%86%+0.12
17/04/20265th11/1094%20%-0.74
09/05/202614th14/126%0%-0.26
12/08/20266th11/271%55%-0.17
29/08/20266th20/10%38%+0.38