9

Golden Circet
6yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 67
Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 219y
#8
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Windsor | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Sandown | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Windsor | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Brighton | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength5%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 09/03/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 20/04/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 07/09/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |