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12

Boston Run

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 56

Kempton · Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap · 1m 2f 219y

#8

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Gained a first win at Lingfield (1¼m, all-weather) in September and backed it up with a solid fifth of 9 in handicap there (1½m, all-weather) 13 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength55%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 20/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 69 · 1m4f Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 69 par20/115OR 695 @ Kempton 01/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 67 · 1m Sta 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/12/2025 · OR 67 par6 @ Kempton 17/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 64 · 1m Sta 136 · below its mark17/12/2025 · OR 64 par17/126OR 646 @ Lingfield 03/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 60 · 1m4f Sta 133 · beat its mark03/01/2026 · OR 60 par5 @ Epsom Downs 16/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 57 · 1m113y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 57 par16/075OR 576 @ Lingfield 04/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 55 · 1m3f133y GF 135 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Lingfield 17/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 52 · 1m2f Std 130 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 52 par17/086OR 526 @ Lingfield 03/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 53 · 1m2f Std 131 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 53 · 1m4f Std 140 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 53 par10/096OR 53projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Lingfield65th5th0
2026-09-03Lingfield61st1st0
2026-08-17Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-08-04Lingfield64th4th0
2026-07-16Epsom Downs56th5th+1
2026-01-03Lingfield66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/113/0117/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength26%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/11/20259th25/10%20%+0.20
01/12/20258th66/10%22%+0.22
17/12/202511th150/10%9%+0.09
03/01/20266th50/10%50%+0.50
16/07/20266th33/10%38%+0.38
04/08/20264th10/147%50%+0.03
17/08/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01
03/09/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
10/09/20265th4/179%50%-0.29